It's been many years since I worked on the top mass measurement (error was 3 GeV back then), but I have seen this slide from TLEP.
I do have one general question regarding Higgs physics.  Perhaps I don't understand it.  The advantage we used to claim at the
Tevatron with the top mass is that it was one of the best known quark masses that could be measured.  Suppose one measured the H->bbbar
to high precision.  I don't know what the b-mass is at the Higgs pole.  I guess smaller than 4.2 GeV.  How certain is this prediction and
would 1% between a Yukawa and a mass prediction stand on its own?
Best,
Chris


On Apr 18, 2013, at 12:11 PM, Raymond Brock <[log in to unmask]>
 wrote:

hi
Yes. If I understand the issue, integrated luminosity is the parameter and any instantaneous luminosity setting is really to normalize any technical or background complication.

Those parameters were fixed at the BNL workshop.

best
Chip

On Apr 18, 2013, at 10:43 AM, "Christopher G. Tully" <[log in to unmask]>
 wrote:

Hi,
    Shouldn't the argument be on integrated luminosity (number of Z bosons), not instantaneous luminosity?
That's the who point of "Giga", right?  10^9 events.
This thread makes it sound like 10^36 = TeraZ, but here we only care whether we want 10^12 Z's or not.
Probably the way to look at this is from a detector readout point of view - for a 10^7 sec running year,
100kHz of Z bosons is quite still.  Good luck running to tape at more than 1kHz.  Put in the actual target number
of events needed for the physics, divide by the number of experiments, and factor in the DAQ readout rate
per experiment.
Unless there is a new background that appears in high inst. lump operation, the inst. lumi will set the length
of the running period at different energy points.  You may find that the number of experiments plays a role
in the running period length as well and in reducing uncorrelated systematics.
The length of the program in years or running periods can always be translated for
the different facilities, and whether there is a need to reserve contingency if there are
elements of the machines that required head room in the design parameters.
The issue on inst. lumi is more relevant in cases where there are not enough events being produced
even for a long stretch of running - which is a bigger issue for Higgs physics.
Best,
Chris

On Apr 18, 2013, at 10:26 AM, Ayres Freitas <[log in to unmask]>
wrote:

Hi Michael,

I second Sven's comments. I think going beyond GigaZ will be extremely challenging, both in terms the uncertainty of input parameters (mtop, alpha(mz), alpha_s), as well as higher-order calculations. Concerning the latter, we would need (at least) complete NNNLO, which is not completely inconceivable, but will require a hugh amount of effort, and I'm not sure if placing so much effort there is the best way to advance our field (and I am writing this as someone who at least partially makes a living from these calculations). See attachment for some more quantitative, but rough estimates of uncertainties from higher-order corrections that I made recently.

Best,
Ayres


On Thu, 18 Apr 2013, Sven Heinemeyer wrote:

Hi Michael,

The question for you is, how much would the extra factor of 10 at the Z pole (or the
extra factor of 100 beyond Giga-Z) buy you in terms of the physics?  My quick impression
is that it is not easy to convert the extra luminosity into physics.  GF and MZ must be
improved, and NNLO electroweak becomes relevant.   The uncertainty in alpha(mZ) also
needs improvement, and I do not see a way to do that.
When we make GigaZ predictions for sin2eff, MW etc. we already use
a very optimistic assumption on delta(Delta alpha_had) = 5 x 10^-5,
resulting in an uncertainty of 1.8 x 10^-5 in sin2eff, i.e. even
larger than the anticipated GigaZ uncertainty, see p. 7 of my talk
at the BNL meeting a few weeks back:
http://www.ifca.unican.es/users/heinemey/uni/talks/2013/SnowmassBNLEWPO.pdf

On the next page I give an estimate of intrinsic uncertainties, i.e. due
to missing higher-order corrections. Also here in the future the
GigaZ result can be matched only "so-so", and even less so in the MSSM,
which is the *only* model so far in which these quantities have been evaluated to a precision roughly as in the SM, it is much worse in any other model.

Of course in the future many things are possible. But our expectations
now (which are not wild guesses ;-) would not profit from another
factor of 10 improvement.

Cheers,
 Sven


*******************************************************************************
Sven Heinemeyer (IFCA (CSIC-UC), Santander, Spain)   > The future is not set!
phone: ++34/942/20-1536, fax: -0935                  > There is NO FATE but
email: Sven.Heinemeyer(at)cern.ch                    > what we make for
WWW  : sven-heinemeyer.de                            > ourselves!
skype: sven.heinemeyer                               >       (Kyle Reese, T2)

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---------------------------------------------------------------
Raymond Brock  *  University Distinguished Professor
Department of Physics and Astronomy
Michigan State University
Biomedical Physical Sciences
567 WIlson Road, Room 3210
East Lansing, MI  48824
sent from: [log in to unmask]

cell: (517)927-5447
MSU office: (517)353-1693/884-5579
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